Chapter_6-8_Probability_Review_Multiple_Choice
Chapter_6-8_Probability_Review_Multiple_Choice
1. Steve says “I have two children, one of which is a boy”. Given this information, what is the probability that
Steve has two boys?
1 1 2 1
(A) (B) (C) (D) (E) None of the above.
2 3 3 4
2. There are 8 different kinds of prizes given at a carnival game. If we select 4 prizes from a bin returning each
one after it is selected, how many different outcomes of prizes are in the sample space?
(A) III only. (B) II and III only. (C) I and III only. (D) I, II, and III. (E) II only
A standard deck of 52 cards is acquired. For those who do not know, a deck of cards contains 4 suits (hearts, diamonds, clubs, and
spades). Hearts and diamonds are red, clubs and spades are black. There are 13 denominations of cards (2,3,4,5,6,7,8,9,10, Jack,
Queen, King, and Ace).
4. If you select two cards not replacing each one after it is selected, what is the probability that you select a black
card and a red card?
25 26 13 13
(A) (B) (C) (D) (E) None of the above
51 51 51 102
5. If you select two cards without replacing each one after it is selected, what is the probability that
you select at least one ace?
188 15 33 39
(A) (B) (C) (D) 1 − (E) None of the above
221 34 221 52
7. Suppose X is a random variable with mean µ. Suppose we observe X many times and keep track of the
average of the observed values. The law of large numbers says that
In a population of students, the number of calculators owned is a random variable X with P(X = 0) = 0.2,
P(X = 1) = 0.6, and P(X = 2) = 0.2.
A semi-truck ships computers from Atlanta to Ft. Lauderdale. The weight of any one computer that is put on the
truck follows a normal model with a mean of 56 pounds and a standard deviation of 10.4 pounds.
Currently, the truck contains 500 computers. Assume the weights of the computers are independent
random variables.
10. What is the expected value for the total weight of the shipment aboard the semi-truck?
(A) 56 pounds (B) 560 pounds (C) 3136 pounds (D) 28,000 pounds (E) 167.33 pounds
11. What is the standard deviation for the total weight of the shipment aboard the semi-truck?
(A) 10.4 pounds (B) 5200 pounds (C) 108.16 pounds (D) 54080 pounds (E) 232.55 pounds
12. The semi-truck approaches a weigh station. If the total weight of the shipment exceeds 28,300 pounds, the
truck driver will have to pay an additional charge for the excess weight. What is the approximate probability
that he will have to pay this additional charge?
(A) 0.10 (B) 0.01 (C) 0.90 (D) 0.99 (E) 0.95
13. A local street contains 7 street lights. The probability that any one street light does not work is 0.30. What is
the probability that at least one does not work?
(A) 0.0002 (B) 0.9998 (C) 0.0824 (D) 0.9176 (E) 0.9563
14. In a particular game, a fair die is tossed. If the number of spots showing is either 4 or 5 you win $1, if number
of spots showing is 6 you win $4, and if the number of spots showing is 1, 2, or 3 you win nothing. Let X be the
amount that you win when playing the game once. The expected value of X is
(A) $0.00 (B) $1.00 (C) $2.50 (D) $4.00 (E) $6.00
15. Cans of soft drinks cost $0.30 in a certain vending machine. The characteristics of the random variable X, the
number of cans sold per day, are given as:
E(X) = 125, and Var(X) = 50
The expected value and variance of the daily revenue (Y) is:
17. What is the probability that the 4th student sampled is the first one who has experienced math anxiety?
(A) (0.20)4 (B) (0.20)6 (C) (0.20)3(0.80) (D) (0.80)3 (E) (0.80)3(0.20)
18. If we select 8 students, what is the probability that at least one student has experienced math anxiety?
(A) 0.80 (B) 0.20 (C) 0.8322 (D) 0.1978 (E) 0.64
19. If we select 8 students, what is the probability that exactly three have experienced math anxiety?
8 8 5
(A) ( 0.20 ) ( 0.80 ) (B) ( 0.20 ) ( 0.80 ) (C) ( 0.20 ) ( 0.80 )
3 8 3 5 3 5
3 3 3
(D) ( 0.20 ) ( 0.80 ) (E) ( 0.20 ) ( 0.80 )
3 5 5 3
20. If we select 8 students, what is the probability that at least two have experienced math anxiety?
(A) 0.2936 (B) 0.64 (C) 0.4967 (D) 0.5033 (E) 0.6225
21. Which of the following is not a qualification for a random variable to be classified as geometric?
22. Let’s say that the probability of success for an event is 0.23 and I want to use a normal distribution to
approximate the binomial distribution. What is the minimum number of trials that I need to run before this
becomes appropriate?
(A) The number of black cards drawn from a deck until an ace is found
(B) The color of the cars in a parking lot
(C) Your mom
(D) The number of people we survey until we find one who owns an iPod
(E) The number of hits a baseball player gets in 6 times at bat
25. Ten percent of all trucks undergoing a certain inspection will fail the inspection. Assume that trucks are
independently undergoing this inspection one at a time. The expected number of trucks inspected before a
truck fails inspection is
If Steve says that he has two children and one of them is a boy, then you have to take order into
account. So the sample space contains:
BG GB BB
Remember the rule for the number of outcomes in the sample space:
Therefore: 84 = 4096
3. [new] Answer: (A)
I. is FALSE → If two events are independent, they cannot be disjoint and vice versa
II. is FALSE → There are three types of events we cover: (1) independent, (2) disjoint, (3)
neither
III. is TRUE → If two events are disjoint, they cannot be independent and vice versa
Since I did not specify order, you have to take into account both orders that exist:
Black&Red OR Red&Black
26 26 26 26 26
+ =
52 51 52 51 51
48 47 33
P(at least one ace) = 1 – =
52 51 221
P(A ∩ B)
P( A B) =
P(B)
But, if two events are disjoint, then P(A ∩ B) = 0. So: P( A B) = 0.
Remember that the mean (a.k.a. expected value) of any probability distribution is the long term
average in all such trials. Therefore, as you observe the outcomes of any random variable more
and more and more, they should steadily approach the true average value.
Again, do this in your calculator or use the formula (but be careful that your calculator gives you
the standard deviation… I’m asking for the variance):
x−µ
z=
σ
28300 − 28000
z= = 1.29
232.55
[normalcdf(1.29,10000)]
Construct a probability distribution table to display these outcomes letting X = the amount of
money you win:
X $1 $4 $0
2 1 3
P(X)
6 6 6
↑ ↑ ↑
4 or 5 6 1, 2, or 3
2 1 3
E ( X ) = 1 + 4 + 0 = $1
6 6 6
15. [new] Answer: (B)
SD(X) = (
50 → SD(Y) = 30 50 → Var(Y) = 30 50 = 4.5 )2
Remember that a discrete random variable is countable and a continuous random variable is
measurable. The only choice that is countable is (B).
(0.80)(0.80)(0.80)(0.20) = (0.80)3(0.20)
Since all four qualifications are met (two outcomes, p(success) is constant, trials independent,
fixed # trials), this follows a binomial distribution with parameters n=8 and p=0.20. Then, just
use the formula for a binomial probability:
n 8
P(x = k) = p k (1 − p ) = ( 0.20 ) ( 0.80 )
n−k 3 5
k 3
For a geometric distribution, you are trying to essentially answer the question: “How many
failures do I have to endure prior to success?”. Therefore, there cannot be a fixed number of
trials because you do not know how many trials there will be… that’s what you’re trying to
figure out.
In order to use the normal approximation, you have to have at least 10 successes and at least
10 failures. Or:
However, since you need both of these to be true, you will need a sample size of at least 44.
The binomial distribution discusses the probability of getting exactly a certain number of
successes within a given number of trials. The only one of these choices that works
appropriately is when we discuss the number of hits acquired at six times at bat.
The geometric model discusses the number of failures before success, so the number of people
we survey (failures) until we find someone with an iPod (success).
Since this follows a geometric distribution, simply use the formula for the mean (or expected
value) of a geometric distribution:
1 1
µ= = = 10
p 0.10