Opinion polling for the 2026 Brazilian presidential election

Since the 2022 Brazilian general election, polling companies have published surveys tracking voting intention for the next election. The results of these surveys are listed below in reverse chronological order and include candidates who frequently polled above 3%.

2025

edit

First round

edit
Publisher/Pollster Polling
period
Sample
size
 
Lula
PT
 
Freitas
REP
 
Marçal
PRTB
 
Gomes
PDT
 
Zema
NOVO
 
Caiado
UNIÃO
Others Blank/Null/
Undec.
Lead
Genial/Quaest[1] 23–26 Jan 2025 4,500 30% 13% 11% 9% 3% 3% 12% 19% 17%

Second round

edit
Publisher/Pollster Polling
period
Sample
size
 
Lula
PT
 
Freitas
REP
 
Marçal
PRTB
 
Zema
NOVO
 
Caiado
UNIÃO
Blank/Null/
Undec.
Lead
Bloomberg/AtlasIntel[2] 27–31 Jan 2025 3,125 45.7% 44.7% 9.6% 1%
49.8% 29.7% 20.5% 20.1%
47.4% 36.5% 16.1% 10.9%
Genial/Quaest[3] 23–26 Jan 2025 4,500 43% 34% 23% 9%
44% 34% 22% 10%
45% 28% 27% 17%
45% 26% 29% 19%

2024

edit

First round

edit
Publisher/Pollster Polling
period
Sample
size
 
Lula
PT
 
Haddad
PT
 
Freitas
REP
 
J. Bolsonaro[a]
PL
 
Marçal
PRTB
 
M. Bolsonaro
PL
 
Gomes
PDT
 
Zema
NOVO
 
Ratinho
PSD
 
Moro
UNIÃO
 
Caiado
UNIÃO
 
Leite
PSDB
 
Barbalho
MDB
 
Tebet
MDB
 
Cristina
PP
Blank/Null/
Undec.
Lead
Paraná Pesquisas[4] 21–25 Nov 2024 2,014 33.6% 37.6% 7.9% 3.7% 7.7% 9.6% 4%
34.2% 27.5% 10.2% 6.4% 8.2% 13.5% 6.7%
34.7% 24.1% 11.5% 5.3% 8.4% 16.1% 10.6%
34.4% 12.8% 15.3% 8.9% 8.7% 19.9% 19.1%
34.7% 13.4% 12.2% 8% 9.5% 22.2% 21.3%
14.5% 38.3% 14.2% 4.4% 13% 15.6% 23.8%
14.9% 27.6% 17% 7.1% 13.5% 19.9% 10.6%
CNT/MDA[5] 7–10 Nov 2024 2,002 35.2% 32.2% 8.4% 6.2% 8% 10% 3%
34.1% 14.1% 20.5% 9.3% 9.2% 12.8% 13.6%
35.2% 15% 16.9% 9.4% 9.5% 14% 18.3%
Paraná Pesquisas[6] 18–22 Jul 2024 2,026 38.3% 36.9% 7.9% 3% 1.9% 0.5% 11.6% 1.4%
38.7% 30.3% 9.1% 4.5% 2.3% 0.6% 14.5% 8.4%
38.9% 24.4% 11.8% 4% 2.7% 0.6% 17.6% 14.5%
39% 12.4% 14.2% 7.5% 3.3% 0.7% 22.8% 24.8%
38.8% 13.3% 13.1% 6.7% 3.5% 0.8% 23.9% 25.5%
Genial/Quaest[7] 2–6 May 2024 2,045 46% 40% 14% 6%
Paraná Pesquisas[8] 27 Apr–1 May 2024 2,020 36% 38.8% 8.4% 3.4% 1.0% 12.3% 2.8%
36.6% 33% 10.1% 3.8% 1.4% 15.0% 3.6%
36.9% 25.6% 11.8% 3.8% 1.3% 20.7% 11.3%
37.2% 14.7% 10.9% 5.6% 1.7% 29.8% 22.5%
36.9% 15.2% 6.5% 1.9% 15.2% 31.0% 21.7%
36.3% 13.8% 17.6% 4.9% 1.6% 25.9% 18.7%
37.2% 14.8% 14.9% 5.1% 1.8% 26.3% 22.3%
Paraná Pesquisas[9] 24–28 Jan 2024 2,026 37.6% 23% 9.3% 6.5% 5.1% 1.9% 0.9% 15.6% 14.6%
37.4% 17.4% 10.3% 5.8% 6.2% 2.1% 1.1% 19.6% 20%
36.9% 33.8% 7.8% 3.9% 3.9% 1.2% 0.8% 11.7% 3.1%
Paraná Pesquisas[10] 29 Sep – 3 Oct 2023 2,020 36.6% 12.7% 6.3% 5.7% 4.6% 6.7% 1.2% 2.1% 7.4% 1.9% 14.9% 23.9%
37.6% 18.9% 8.7% 3.7% 9.0% 22.2% 18.7%
37.6% 8.8% 15.3% 4.0% 8.8% 25.5% 22.3%
37.7% 9.2% 12.8% 4.1% 8.7% 27.4% 24.9%

Second round

edit
Publisher/Pollster Polling
period
Sample
size
 
Lula
PT
 
Freitas
REP
 
J. Bolsonaro[b]
PL
 
Marçal
PRTB
 
Caiado
UNIÃO
Blank/Null/
Undec.
Lead
Genial/Quaest[11] 4–9 Dec 2024 8,598 51% 35% 14% 16%
52% 26% 22% 26%
52% 27% 22% 25%
54% 20% 26% 34%

See also

edit

Notes

edit
  1. ^ Ineligible.
  2. ^ Ineligible.

References

edit
  1. ^ "Quaest para presidente: Lula tem 30%; Tarcísio, 13%; e Gusttavo Lima, 12%". CNN (in Portuguese). 3 January 2025. Retrieved 3 January 2025.
  2. ^ "Tarcísio vai melhor que Bolsonaro contra Lula no 2º turno, diz AtlasIntel". CNN Brazil (in Portuguese). 3 January 2025. Retrieved 11 February 2025.
  3. ^ "Lula é favorito em cenários para 2026 sem Bolsonaro, Gusttavo Lima é quem mais se aproxima em 2º turno, diz Genial/Quaest". Terra (in Portuguese). 3 January 2025. Retrieved 3 January 2025.
  4. ^ "O desempenho de Bolsonaro, Michelle, Tarcísio, Ratinho e Zema em eventuais disputas contra Lula em 2026". CartaCapital (in Brazilian Portuguese). 27 November 2024. Retrieved 4 December 2024.
  5. ^ "Pesquisa testa cenários com Lula, Marçal, Tarcísio, Bolsonaro e Michelle para 2026; veja os números". CartaCapital (in Brazilian Portuguese). 12 November 2024. Retrieved 14 November 2024.
  6. ^ Aguiar, Victor. "Pesquisa simula eleição com Lula contra Bolsonaro, Michelle e Tarcísio; veja cenários". CNN Brasil (in Brazilian Portuguese). Retrieved 30 July 2024.
  7. ^ "Poll 02–06 May 2024" (PDF).
  8. ^ "Lula venceria Tarcísio, mas casal Bolsonaro mantém força para 2026". Poder360 (in Brazilian Portuguese). 24 May 2024. Retrieved 24 May 2024.
  9. ^ "Pesquisa de Opinião Pública Nacional - Janeiro de 2024" (PDF). Paraná Pesquisas (in Brazilian Portuguese). 9 February 2024. Retrieved 15 February 2024.
  10. ^ "Pesquisa: Lula lidera com folga, e Tarcísio é nome mais forte da oposição". Veja (in Brazilian Portuguese). 13 October 2023. Retrieved 14 October 2023.
  11. ^ "Genial/Quaest: Lula vence todos os cenários em 2026; Haddad é favorito pra substituí-lo". UOL (in Brazilian Portuguese). 27 November 2024. Retrieved 12 December 2024.
pFad - Phonifier reborn

Pfad - The Proxy pFad of © 2024 Garber Painting. All rights reserved.

Note: This service is not intended for secure transactions such as banking, social media, email, or purchasing. Use at your own risk. We assume no liability whatsoever for broken pages.


Alternative Proxies:

Alternative Proxy

pFad Proxy

pFad v3 Proxy

pFad v4 Proxy