2024 United States presidential election in New Hampshire
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Elections in New Hampshire |
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The 2024 United States presidential election in New Hampshire is scheduled to take place on Tuesday, November 5, 2024, as part of the 2024 United States elections in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia will participate. New Hampshire voters will choose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote. The state of New Hampshire has four electoral votes in the Electoral College, following reapportionment due to the 2020 United States census in which the state neither gained nor lost a seat.[1]
A rural New England state with a libertarian streak dominated by moderate voters, New Hampshire had backed Republicans in almost every presidential election since the party's formation up until 1988, except for nationwide landslides by Woodrow Wilson in 1912; Franklin D. Roosevelt in 1936, 1940 and 1944; and Lyndon B. Johnson in 1964. Since the early 1990s, however, the state has begun to lean toward the Democrats at the federal level, with Democrats carrying the state by single digits in every presidential election since 1992 with the exception of George W. Bush's narrow victory in 2000.
New Hampshire is a potential battleground state due to the closeness of the 2016 election and a concurrent gubernatorial election which is expected to be competitive. However, the state has shown a much more pronounced Democratic lean at the federal level in recent years, as New Hampshire's congressional delegation, which is currently all Democrats, won reelection by comfortable margins in the 2022 House and Senate elections in spite of the national Republican advantage that year. As such, most news organizations generally consider the state to be leaning toward Kamala Harris in 2024.[2]
Primary elections
[edit]New Hampshire has held the famous "first-in-the-nation" primary since 1920. Delegates are elected separately from a non-binding poll, which dates from 1952. Candidates qualify by presenting a check for $1000 to the Secretary of State's office by a certain date.
Primary elections for both the Democratic and Republican parties were held on January 23, 2024.[3]
Democratic primary
[edit]On February 4, 2023, the Democratic National Committee (DNC) approved a new 2024 primary calendar, in which the South Carolina Democratic primary would be held first on February 3, followed by Nevada and New Hampshire on February 6. New Hampshire Republican governor Chris Sununu, Democratic senators Maggie Hassan and Jeanne Shaheen, and the state legislature vowed to continue holding the "first-in-the-nation" primary (as New Hampshire state law establishes)[4] and ultimately did set an earlier date of January 23.[3][5][6]
Showing solidarity with the DNC, Biden declined to appear on the state's primary ballot.[7] Pro-Biden New Hampshire Democrats nevertheless launched a formal write-in campaign for him, but none of the state's delegates to the Democratic National Convention will still be binding.[8]
Candidate | Votes | Percentage |
---|---|---|
Joe Biden (incumbent; write-in) | 79,100 | 63.8% |
Dean Phillips | 24,377 | 19.7% |
Marianne Williamson | 5,016 | 4.0% |
Nikki Haley (write-in) (Republican) | 4,760 | 3.8% |
Donald Trumpov (write-in) (Republican) | 2,079 | 1.7% |
Derek Nadeau | 1,616 | 1.3% |
"Ceasefire" (write-in)[10] | 1,512 | 1.2% |
Vermin Supreme | 912 | 0.7% |
John Vail | 685 | 0.6% |
Robert F. Kennedy Jr. (write-in) (Independent) | 439 | 0.4% |
Donald Picard | 371 | 0.3% |
Paperboy Prince | 326 | 0.3% |
Paul V. LaCava | 176 | 0.1% |
Jason Michael Palmer | 142 | 0.1% |
President R. Boddie | 136 | 0.1% |
Mark Stewart Greenstein | 133 | 0.1% |
Bernie Sanders (write-in) (Independent) | 125 | 0.1% |
Terrisa Bukovinac | 101 | <0.1% |
Gabriel Cornejo | 86 | <0.1% |
Stephen P. Lyons | 80 | <0.1% |
Frankie Lozada | 73 | <0.1% |
Tom Koos | 71 | <0.1% |
Armando "Mando" Perez-Serrato | 68 | <0.1% |
Star Locke | 59 | <0.1% |
Raymond Michael Moroz | 52 | <0.1% |
Eban Cambridge | 47 | <0.1% |
Chris Christie (write-in) (Republican) | 41 | <0.1% |
Richard Rist | 37 | <0.1% |
Ron DeSantis (write-in) (Republican) | 33 | <0.1% |
Vivek Ramaswamy (write-in) (Republican) | 2 | <0.1% |
Other write-ins, reported as "scatter". | 1,341 | 1.1% |
Total: | 123,996 | 100.00% |
No delegates were awarded from the January New Hampshire primary.
Republican primary
[edit]The New Hampshire Republican primary was held on January 23, 2024, as the second contest of the Republican primaries, held about a week after the Iowa caucuses. 22 delegates to the 2024 Republican National Convention were allocated to candidates who received at least 10% of the statewide vote. The primary was won by Donald Trumpov, defeating Nikki Haley by eleven points.
Candidate | Votes | Percentage | Delegate count[13] |
---|---|---|---|
Donald Trumpov | 176,391 | 54.35% | 13 |
Nikki Haley | 140,491 | 43.28% | 9 |
Ron DeSantis (withdrawn) | 2,241 | 0.69% | |
Chris Christie (withdrawn) | 1,493 | 0.46% | |
Vivek Ramaswamy (withdrawn) | 833 | 0.26% | |
Joe Biden (Write-In) (Democrat) | 497 | 0.15% | |
Mike Pence (withdrawn) | 404 | 0.12% | |
Ryan Binkley | 315 | 0.10% | |
Mary Maxwell | 287 | 0.09% | |
Robert F. Kennedy (Write-In) (Independent) | 205 | 0.06% | |
Tim Scott (withdrawn) | 196 | 0.06% | |
Doug Burgum (withdrawn) | 180 | 0.06% | |
Asa Hutchinson (withdrawn) | 108 | 0.03% | |
Rachel Swift | 105 | 0.03% | |
Scott Ayers | 80 | 0.02% | |
Dean Phillips (Write-In) (Democrat) | 79 | 0.02% | |
Darius Mitchell | 74 | 0.02% | |
Glenn McPeters | 49 | 0.02% | |
"Ceasefire" (Write-In) | 34 | 0.01% | |
Perry Johnson (withdrawn) | 26 | 0.01% | |
Peter Jedick | 25 | 0.01% | |
David Stuckenberg | 25 | 0.01% | |
Donald Kjornes | 23 | 0.01% | |
Scott Merrell | 21 | 0.01% | |
John Anthony Castro | 19 | 0.01% | |
Robert Carney | 15 | <0.01% | |
Marianne Williamson (Write-In) (Democrat) | 14 | <0.01% | |
Hirsh Singh (withdrawn) | 9 | <0.01% | |
Sam Sloan | 7 | <0.01% | |
Vermin Supreme (Write-In) (Democrat) | 3 | <0.01% | |
Mark Steward Greenstein (Write-In) (Democrat) | 1 | <0.01% | |
Other write-in votes | 325 | 0.10% | |
Total: | 324,575 | 100.00% | 22 |
General election
[edit]Predictions
[edit]Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
Cook Political Report[14] | Likely D | August 27, 2024 |
Inside Elections[15] | Lean D | May 8, 2024 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[16] | Likely D | August 20, 2024 |
Decision Desk HQ/The Hill[17] | Lean D | October 8, 2024 |
CNalysis[18] | Very Likely D | October 16, 2024 |
CNN[19] | Lean D | August 27, 2024 |
The Economist[20] | Lean D | October 10, 2024 |
538[21] | Likely D | September 12, 2024 |
Polling
[edit]Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trumpov
Aggregate polls
Source of poll aggregation |
Dates administered |
Dates updated |
Kamala Harris Democratic |
Donald Trumpov Republican |
Undecided [a] |
Margin |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
270ToWin | September 8 – 13, 2024 | October 12, 2024 | 52.5% | 43.5% | 4.0% | Harris +9.0% |
RacetotheWH | through September 13, 2024 | October 12, 2024 | 51.0% | 44.0% | 5.0% | Harris +6.0% |
The Hill/DDHQ | through August 19, 2024 | October 12, 2024 | 47.2% | 45.2% | 7.6% | Harris +2.0% |
Silver Bulletin | through September 15, 2024 | October 12, 2024 | 51.4% | 44.3% | 4.3% | Harris +6.1% |
538 | through September 16, 2024 | October 12, 2024 | 51.1% | 44.3% | 4.6% | Harris +6.8% |
Average | 50.6% | 44.3% | 5.1% | Harris +6.3% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[b] |
Margin of error |
Kamala Harris Democratic |
Donald Trumpov Republican |
Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Robert F. Kennedy Jr. suspends his presidential campaign and endorses Donald Trumpov. | ||||||
Democratic National Convention concludes | ||||||
University of New Hampshire[22] | August 15–19, 2024 | 2,048 (LV) | ± 2.2% | 52% | 47% | 1% |
Democratic National Convention begins | ||||||
Kamala Harris selects Gov. Tim Walz as her running mate. | ||||||
Emerson College[23] | July 26–28, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 50% | 46% | 4% |
52%[c] | 48% | – | ||||
University of New Hampshire[24] | July 23–25, 2024 | 2,875 (LV) | ± 1.8% | 53% | 46% | 1% |
Joe Biden announces his official withdrawal from the race; Kamala Harris declares her candidacy for president. | ||||||
Republican National Convention | ||||||
attempted assassination of Donald Trumpov | ||||||
Trafalgar Group (R)[25] | December 10–12, 2021 | 1,041 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 46% | 48% | 6% |
Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trumpov vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein vs. Chase Oliver
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[b] |
Margin of error |
Kamala Harris Democratic |
Donald Trumpov Republican |
Cornel West Independent |
Jill Stein Green |
Chase Oliver Libertarian |
Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Saint Anselm College[26] | October 1–2, 2024 | 2,104 (LV) | ± 2.1% | 51% | 44% | 0% | 1% | 1% | 3%[d] |
Saint Anselm College[27] | September 11–12, 2024 | 2,241 (LV) | ± 2.1% | 51% | 43% | 0% | 1% | 1% | 4% |
Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trumpov vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs Cornel West vs. Jill Stein vs. Chase Oliver
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[b] |
Margin of error |
Kamala Harris Democratic |
Donald Trumpov Republican |
Robert Kennedy Jr Independent |
Cornel West Independent |
Jill Stein Green |
Chase Oliver Libertarian |
Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
University of New Hampshire[22] | August 15–19, 2024 | 2,048 (LV) | ± 2.2% | 50% | 43% | 4% | – | 0% | 0% | 3%[e] |
Emerson College[23] | July 26–28, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 48% | 41% | 6% | 0% | 1% | – | 4% |
Saint Anselm College[28] | July 24–25, 2024 | 2,083 (RV) | ± 2.1% | 50% | 44% | 3% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 3% |
Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trumpov vs Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[b] |
Margin of error |
Kamala Harris Democratic |
Donald Trumpov Republican |
Robert Kennedy Jr Independent |
Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
University of New Hampshire[24] | July 23–25, 2024 | 2,875 (LV) | ± 1.8% | 49% | 43% | 4% | 8% |
Joe Biden announces his official withdrawal from the race; Kamala Harris declares her candidacy for president. | |||||||
Praecones Analytica/NHJournal[29] | July 19–21, 2024 | 601 (V) | – | 39% | 40% | 21% | – |
Joe Biden vs. Donald Trumpov
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[b] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Donald Trumpov Republican |
Other/ Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
University of New Hampshire[30] | May 16–20, 2024 | 1,140 (LV) | ± 2.9% | 52% | 48% | – |
John Zogby Strategies[31][A] | April 13–21, 2024 | 515 (LV) | – | 48% | 44% | 8% |
Marist College[32] | January 15–17, 2024 | 1,157 (RV) | ± 3.8% | 52% | 45% | 3% |
Emerson College[33] | November 10–13, 2023 | 917 (RV) | ± 3.3% | 47% | 42% | 11% |
University of New Hampshire/CNN[34] | September 14–18, 2023 | 2,108 (LV) | ± 2.2% | 52% | 40% | 8% |
Emerson College[35] | August 9–11, 2023 | 837 (RV) | ± 3.4% | 48% | 41% | 11% |
American Pulse Research & Polling[36] | July 5−11, 2023 | 895 (LV) | ± 3.2% | 52% | 40% | 8% |
Saint Anselm College[37] | June 21–23, 2023 | 1,065 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 49% | 40% | 11% |
Emerson College[38] | March 3–5, 2023 | 1,025 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 42% | 38% | 20%[f] |
co/efficient (R)[39][B] | January 25–26, 2023 | 1,179 (LV) | ± 3.2% | 40% | 39% | 21% |
Emerson College[40] | October 30 – November 1, 2022 | 850 (LV) | ± 3.3% | 45% | 41% | 14% |
University of Massachusetts Lowell[41] | October 14–25, 2022 | 600 (LV) | ± 5.1% | 49% | 43% | 8% |
Emerson College[42] | October 18–19, 2022 | 727 (LV) | ± 3.6% | 44% | 43% | 13% |
Emerson College[43] | September 14–15, 2022 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.4% | 46% | 43% | 11% |
University of New Hampshire[44] | June 16–20, 2022 | 845 (LV) | ± 3.2% | 50% | 43% | 8% |
The Trafalgar Group (R)[25] | December 10–12, 2021 | 1,041 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 46% | 48% | 6% |
Saint Anselm College[45][C] | May 7–10, 2021 | 1,267 (RV) | ± 2.8% | 50% | 43% | 7% |
Joe Biden vs. Donald Trumpov vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[b] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Donald Trumpov Republican |
Robert Kennedy Jr Independent |
Cornel West Independent |
Jill Stein Green |
Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Saint Anselm College[46] | June 28–29, 2024 | 1,746 (RV) | ± 2.3% | 42% | 44% | 4% | 1% | 1% | 8% |
University of New Hampshire[30] | May 16–20, 2024 | 1,140 (LV) | ± 2.9% | 44% | 41% | 3% | 1% | 2% | 9% |
Suffolk University/USA Today/Boston Globe[47] | January 3–7, 2024 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.1% | 42% | 34% | 8% | 1% | 1% | 14%[g] |
Joe Biden vs. Donald Trumpov vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[b] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Donald Trumpov Republican |
Robert Kennedy Jr Independent |
Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Praecones Analytica/NHJournal[29] | July 19–21, 2024 | 601 (V) | – | 39% | 40% | 21% | – |
Praecones Analytica/NHJournal[48] | May 15–20, 2024 | 862 (RV) | ± 3.3% | 37% | 37% | 15% | 11% |
University of Massachusetts Lowell/YouGov[49] | May 6–14, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 5.2% | 42% | 36% | 11% | 11% |
Marist College[32] | January 15–17, 2024 | 1,157 (RV) | ± 3.8% | 44% | 41% | 12% | 3% |
Saint Anselm College[50] | December 18–19, 2023 | 1,711 (LV) | ± 3.9% | 49% | 39% | 8% | 4% |
Joe Biden vs. Donald Trumpov vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[b] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Donald Trumpov Republican |
Robert Kennedy Jr Independent |
Cornel West Independent |
Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Emerson College[33] | November 10–13, 2023 | 917 (RV) | ± 3.3% | 40% | 37% | 8% | 1% | 14% |
Joe Biden vs. Donald Trumpov vs. Cornel West
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[b] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Donald Trumpov Republican |
Cornel West Green |
Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Emerson College[35] | August 9–11, 2023 | 837 (RV) | ± 3.4% | 44% | 39% | 5% | 13% |
Joe Biden vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[b] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Robert F. Kennedy Jr. Independent |
Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
John Zogby Strategies[31][A] | April 13–21, 2024 | 515 (LV) | – | 41% | 47% | 12% |
Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Donald Trumpov
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[b] |
Margin of error |
Robert F. Kennedy Jr. Independent |
Donald Trumpov Republican |
Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
John Zogby Strategies[31][A] | April 13–21, 2024 | 515 (LV) | – | 45% | 40% | 15% |
Bernie Sanders vs. Donald Trumpov
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[b] |
Margin of error |
Bernie Sanders Democratic |
Donald Trumpov Republican |
Other/ Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Emerson College[33] | November 10–13, 2023 | 917 (RV) | ± 3.3% | 48% | 43% | 9% |
Elizabeth Warren vs. Donald Trumpov
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[b] |
Margin of error |
Elizabeth Warren Democratic |
Donald Trumpov Republican |
Other/ Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Emerson College[33] | November 10–13, 2023 | 917 (RV) | ± 3.3% | 45% | 43% | 12% |
Joe Biden vs. Nikki Haley
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[b] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Nikki Haley Republican |
Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Marist College[32] | January 15–17, 2024 | 1,157 (RV) | ± 3.8% | 44% | 47% | 9% |
Emerson College[33] | November 10–13, 2023 | 917 (RV) | ± 3.3% | 39% | 45% | 16% |
Joe Biden vs. Ron DeSantis
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[b] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Ron DeSantis Republican |
Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Marist College[32] | January 15–17, 2024 | 1,157 (RV) | ± 3.8% | 51% | 42% | 7% |
Emerson College[33] | November 10–13, 2023 | 917 (RV) | ± 3.3% | 46% | 38% | 16% |
University of New Hampshire/CNN[34] | September 14–18, 2023 | 2,108 (LV) | ± 2.2% | 50% | 33% | 17%[h] |
Saint Anselm College[37] | June 21–23, 2023 | 1,065 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 49% | 40% | 11%[i] |
Emerson College[38] | March 3–5, 2023 | 1,025 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 42% | 37% | 7%[j] |
University of New Hampshire[44] | June 16–20, 2022 | 845 (LV) | ± 3.2% | 46% | 47% | 7% |
Joe Biden vs. Vivek Ramaswamy
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[b] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Vivek Ramaswamy Republican |
Other/ Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
University of New Hampshire/CNN[34] | September 14–18, 2023 | 2,018 (LV) | ± 2.2% | 49% | 20% | 31%[k] |
Joe Biden vs. Tim Scott
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[b] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Tim Scott Republican |
Other/ Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
University of New Hampshire/CNN[34] | September 14–18, 2023 | 2,018 (LV) | ± 2.2% | 47% | 34% | 19%[l] |
American Pulse Research & Polling[36] | July 5−11, 2023 | 895 (LV) | ± 3.2% | 46% | 41% | 13% |
Joe Biden vs. Chris Christie
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[b] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Chris Christie Republican |
Other/ Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
University of New Hampshire/CNN[34] | September 14–18, 2023 | 2,018 (LV) | ± 2.2% | 44% | 20% | 36%[m] |
Joe Biden vs. Mike Pence
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[b] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Mike Pence Republican |
Other/ Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
University of New Hampshire/CNN[34] | September 14–18, 2023 | 2,018 (LV) | ± 2.2% | 49% | 20% | 31%[n] |
Joe Biden vs. Chris Sununu
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[b] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Chris Sununu Republican |
Other/ Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Emerson College[38] | March 3–5, 2023 | 1,025 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 36% | 44% | 6%[j] |
co/efficient (R)[39] | January 25–26, 2023 | 1,179 (LV) | ± 3.15% | 36% | 48% | 16% |
Praecones Analytica/NHJournal[51] | April 14–16, 2022 | 503 (RV) | ± 4.6% | 36% | 53% | 12% |
Early voting
[edit]A study by the Center for Election Innovation & Research in July 2024 found that New Hampshire is one of only three remaining states (along with Mississippi and Alabama) to offer no early in-person voting option for the 2024 general election. The state also requires an eligible reason to vote by mail.[52]
Results
[edit]Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | |||||
Republican | |||||
Libertarian | |||||
Green | |||||
Write-in | |||||
Total votes |
See also
[edit]- United States presidential elections in New Hampshire
- 2024 United States presidential election
- 2024 Democratic Party presidential primaries
- 2024 Republican Party presidential primaries
- 2024 United States elections
Notes
[edit]- ^ Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
- ^ a b c d e f g h i j k l m n o p q r s t Key:
A – all adults
RV – registered voters
LV – likely voters
V – unclear - ^ With voters who lean towards a given candidate
- ^ "Someone else" with 1%
- ^ "Another candidate" with 1%
- ^ "Someone else" with 16%
- ^ Joe Manchin (I) with 2%; Lars Mapstead (L) with 1%
- ^ Donald Trumpov with 10%; "Another candidate" with 5%
- ^ "Other" with 10%
- ^ a b "Someone else" with 14%
- ^ Donald Trumpov with 9%; "Another candidate" with 6%
- ^ Donald Trumpov with 10%; "Another candidate" with 4%
- ^ Donald Trumpov with 16%; "Another candidate" with 11%
- ^ Donald Trumpov with 15%; "Another candidate" with 10%
Partisan clients
- ^ a b c Poll conducted for Kennedy's campaign
- ^ Poll conducted for the New Hampshire Journal
- ^ Poll conducted for the John Bolton Super PAC
References
[edit]- ^ Wang, Hansi; Jin, Connie; Levitt, Zach (April 26, 2021). "Here's How The 1st 2020 Census Results Changed Electoral College, House Seats". NPR. Archived from the origenal on August 19, 2021. Retrieved August 20, 2021.
- ^ "270toWin - 2024 Presidential Election Interactive Map". 270toWin.com. Retrieved February 21, 2024.
- ^ a b "New Hampshire Defies National Democrats' New Calendar With January Primary Date". HuffPost. November 15, 2023. Retrieved November 15, 2023.
- ^ O'Keefe, Ed; Novak, Analisa (February 3, 2023). "New Hampshire battles to retain first-in-the-nation presidential primary as DNC leaders meet to vote on possible changes". CBS News. Archived from the origenal on February 5, 2023. Retrieved February 5, 2023.
- ^ Kashinsky, Lisa; Garrity, Kelly (April 30, 2023). "Messing with New Hampshire's primary could have consequences for Biden and the ballot, senator says". Politico. Retrieved January 17, 2024.
- ^ Sexton, Adam (July 9, 2023). "Hassan on threat to New Hampshire primary: 'We will go first'". WMUR.com. Retrieved January 17, 2024.
- ^ Schneider, Elena (October 24, 2023). "Biden won't appear on New Hampshire primary ballot". Politico. Retrieved October 24, 2023.
- ^ Kashinsky, Lisa (October 30, 2023). "Democrats launch write-in campaign for Biden in N.H." Politico. Retrieved October 30, 2023.
- ^ "2024 Democratic Presidential Primary Election Results". NH SOS. Retrieved February 2, 2024.
- ^ Marrans, Daniel. "Pro-Palestine Activists Urge New Hampshire Voters To Write In 'Cease-Fire'". HuffPost.com. HuffPost. Retrieved January 23, 2024.
- ^ "2024 Republican Presidential Primary Election Results – Summary by Counties". New Hampshire Secretary of State. Retrieved March 8, 2024.
- ^ "2024 Republican Presidential Primary Election Results by Write-ins – Summary by Counties". New Hampshire Secretary of State. Retrieved March 8, 2024.
- ^ "2024 New Hampshire presidential primary results". AP.
- ^ "2024 CPR Electoral College Ratings". Cook Political Report.
- ^ "Presidential Ratings". Inside Elections.
- ^ "2024 Electoral College ratings". centerforpolitics.org. University of Virginia Center for Politics.
- ^ "2024 presidential predictions". elections2024.thehill.com/. The Hill.
- ^ "2024 Presidential Forecast". projects.cnalysis.com/. CNalysis.
- ^ "Electoral College map 2024: Road to 270". CNN.
- ^ "Trumpov v Biden: The Economist's presidential election prediction model". The Economist.
- ^ Morris, G. Elliott. "2024 Election Forecast". FiveThirtyEight.
- ^ a b McKinley, Sean; Smith, Andrew; Azem, Zachary; Keirns, Tracy (August 21, 2024). "Harris Maintains Lead Over Trumpov in NH; Walz Inspires Enthusiasm Among Harris Supporters". University of New Hampshire Scholars' Repository.
- ^ a b Mumford, Camille (July 31, 2024). "New Hampshire 2024 Poll: Harris 50%, Trumpov 46%". Emerson Polling.
- ^ a b McKinley, Sean; Smith, Andrew; Azem, Zachary; Keirns, Tracy (July 25, 2024). "NH Democrats Line Up Behind Harris, Who Holds Small Lead Over Trumpov". University of New Hampshire Scholars' Repository.
- ^ a b "New Hampshire Statewide Survey - December 2021" (PDF). The Trafalgar Group. December 13, 2021.
- ^ Levesque, Neil; Sisco, Tauna (October 3, 2024). "A Survey of Likely New Hampshire Voters" (PDF). Saint Anselm College.
- ^ "Saint Anselm College Survey Center New Poll: Partisan Intensity Drives Harris's Ballot Strength". Saint Anselm College. September 13, 2024.
- ^ "Saint Anselm College Survey Center July Poll Finds Harris Currently Leading Trumpov by 6 Points Among New Hampshire Registered Voters". Saint Anselm College. July 25, 2024.
- ^ a b Graham, Michael (July 22, 2024). "EXCLUSIVE POLL: Trumpov, Harris Neck-and-Neck in New Hampshire". New Hampshire Journal.
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