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MN-01 Poll Results Memo - Ettinger Campaign

A polling memo from the Ettinger Campaign about the race in #mn01 for the race between Jeff Ettinger and Brad Finstad to replace the late Rep. Jim Hagedorn.

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FluenceMedia
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3K views3 pages

MN-01 Poll Results Memo - Ettinger Campaign

A polling memo from the Ettinger Campaign about the race in #mn01 for the race between Jeff Ettinger and Brad Finstad to replace the late Rep. Jim Hagedorn.

Uploaded by

FluenceMedia
Copyright
© © All Rights Reserved
Available Formats
Download as PDF, TXT or read online on Scribd
Download as pdf or txt
Download as pdf or txt
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To: Interested Parties

Fr: Expedition Strategies


Re: MN-01 Poll Results
Date: June 17, 2022

Expedition Strategies conducted 400 total interviews in Minnesota’s 1st Congressional District with a
sample of likely Democratic primary voters. The interviews were conducted June 6-9, 2022. The margin of
error for overall results is ±4.90% and higher among subgroups.

Some key facts about the special election electorate include:

• 20% are liberal, 30% are moderate, and 43% are conservative.
• 31% identify as Democrats, 38% as Republicans, 31% as Independents.
• 40% live in the Rochester DMA, 60% live in La Cross, Mankato, Minneapolis, or Sioux Falls
DMAs.
• It’s slightly more female (53%) than male (47%).
• 42% are under the age of 60, 58% over.

The Race is Close Initially and Jeff Ettinger Leads After Positive and Negative Messaging

Initially, the ballot is a statistical tie with Ettinger receiving 47% of the vote, Finstad getting 48% of the
vote and 5% undecided.

• After giving voters positive information about both candidates, Ettinger leads Finstad 50% to 47%
with 3% undecided.

• After giving voters potential criticisms of both candidates, Ettinger leads Finstad 49% to 47% with
5% undecided.

Ballot Progression

If the August special election for Congress were held today, for whom
would you vote?
Post Both Post Both
Initial Ballot Candidates’ Candidates’
(InitB) Positive Negative
Messages Messages
Difference -1 +3 +2
Jeff Ettinger 47 50 49
Brad Finstad 48 47 47
Don’t know 5 3 5

Arlington, VA
info@expeditionstrategies.com
Top Voter Concern is Inflation and Cost of Living

The dominant issue voters want to see their next Congressman address is the cost of living and inflation
(27%) followed by gun violence (12%) and election integrity (10%).

Most Important Issue

When you think of the types of issues that are important to you, which type of issue is most important as
you decide who you will support for Congress? Is it issues related to:
All
Q1; Ranked by All
Cost of living and inflation 27
Guns 12
Election integrity 10
Abortion 7
Health care 6
Immigration 6
Social justice 6
Education 6
Environmental protection 6
National security 5
Jobs and wages 3
Taxes 3
National deficit 1
Transportation 0
Covid-19 0
Don't know 2

More Voters Prefer Jeff Ettinger’s Background Than Finstad

By a 53% to 40% margin, more voters say they prefer a candidate who has significant experience running
a major business in Minnesota than say they prefer someone who has significant experience in
government and rural policy making.

Experience Preference

Which type of Congressman would you prefer? Someone who:


All
Q2
Difference +13
Has significant experience running a major business in Minnesota 53
Has significant experience in government and rural policy making 40
Don’t know 7

MN-01 Poll Memo 2


Most Voters Say They Prefer Jeff Ettinger’s Approach to Tackling Inflation

When it comes to tackling inflation, more voters say they want someone who will look at ways to focus
spending to help those who need it the most (51%) over a candidate who will look at ways to cut
spending in every government program (44%).

Inflation Approach Preference

Which approach to inflation would you prefer for the next Member of
Congress who represents Southern Minnesota to take? Someone who:
All
Q8
Difference -7
Will look at ways to cut spending in every government program 44
Will look at ways to focus spending to help those who need it most 51
Don’t know 5

MN-01 Poll Memo 3

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