Lecture - 6 - Continuous Distributions
Lecture - 6 - Continuous Distributions
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Learning Objectives
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UNIFORM DISTRIBUTION
• A situation where all outcomes in a range between
a minimum and maximum value are equally likely.
• A few real-life processes that have this form of
uncertainty.
• For example:
– The position of a particular air molecule in a room,
– the point on a car tyre where the next puncture will
occur,
– the number of seconds past the minute that the current
time is, or the length of time that one may have to wait
for a train.
– In oil exploration, the position of the oil-water contact
in a potential prospect is also often considered to be
uniformly continuously distributed.
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UNIFORM DISTRIBUTION
The uniform distribution, sometimes referred to as the rectangular
distribution, is a relatively simple continuous distribution in which the same
height, or f (x), is obtained over a range of values. The following probability
density function defines a uniform distribution.
1 1
1
41 x 47 47 41 6
47 41 for f ( x)
f ( x)
0 for all other values
Area = 1
41 47 x
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Uniform Distribution Probability
P( x X x ) x x
2 1
1 2
ba 45 42 1
47 41 2
f ( x)
45 42 1
P( 42 X 45)
47 41 2 Area
= 0.5
41 42 45 47 x
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Uniform Distribution
Mean and Standard Deviation
Mean Mean
a+b 41 + 47 88
= = 44
2 2 2
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Example:1
Suppose the amount of time it takes to assemble a plastic module
ranges from 27 to 39 seconds and that assembly times are
uniformly distributed. Describe the distribution.
(a) What is the probability that a given assembly will take between
30 and 35 seconds?
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Solution:1
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Example
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Solution
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Example
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Solution
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Example
• Suppose a random number N is taken from
690 to 850 in uniform distribution. Find the
probability number N is greater than the
790?
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Solution
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Normal Distribution
Probably the most widely known and used of all distributions is the normal
distribution.
• Heights of people
• Size of things produced by machines
• Errors in measurements
• Blood Pressure
• Test Scores
• Marks of Students
• Annual cost of household insurance
• The cost per square foot
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Characteristics of Normal
Distribution
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Characteristics of Normal
Distribution
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The properties of a normal distribution
• The total area under the curve is 1 (or 100%).
• 50% of the area is to the left of the mean, and 50% to the right.
• Approximately 68% of the area is within 1 standard deviation, σ, of the mean.
• Approximately 95% of the area is within 2 standard deviations of the mean.
• Approximately 99% of the area is within 3 standard deviations of the mean.
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Probability Density Function
of the Normal Distribution
1 x
2
1
f ( x) e 2
2
Where:
mean of X
standard deviation of X
= 3.14159 . . .
e 2.71828 . . . X
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Normal Curves for Different Means and
Standard Deviations
5 5
10
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Standardized Normal Distribution
The Empirical Rule:
(a) About 68% of the area under the graph is between -1 and 1;
(a) About 95% of the area under the graph is between -2 and 2;
(a) About 99.7% of the area under the graph is between -3 and 3.
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Z Table
Second Decimal Place in Z
Z 0.00 0.01 0.02 0.03 0.04 0.05 0.06 0.07 0.08 0.09
0.00 0.0000 0.0040 0.0080 0.0120 0.0160 0.0199 0.0239 0.0279 0.0319 0.0359
0.10 0.0398 0.0438 0.0478 0.0517 0.0557 0.0596 0.0636 0.0675 0.0714 0.0753
0.20 0.0793 0.0832 0.0871 0.0910 0.0948 0.0987 0.1026 0.1064 0.1103 0.1141
0.30 0.1179 0.1217 0.1255 0.1293 0.1331 0.1368 0.1406 0.1443 0.1480 0.1517
0.90 0.3159 0.3186 0.3212 0.3238 0.3264 0.3289 0.3315 0.3340 0.3365 0.3389
1.00 0.3413 0.3438 0.3461 0.3485 0.3508 0.3531 0.3554 0.3577 0.3599 0.3621
1.10 0.3643 0.3665 0.3686 0.3708 0.3729 0.3749 0.3770 0.3790 0.3810 0.3830
1.20 0.3849 0.3869 0.3888 0.3907 0.3925 0.3944 0.3962 0.3980 0.3997 0.4015
2.00 0.4772 0.4778 0.4783 0.4788 0.4793 0.4798 0.4803 0.4808 0.4812 0.4817
3.00 0.4987 0.4987 0.4987 0.4988 0.4988 0.4989 0.4989 0.4989 0.4990 0.4990
3.40 0.4997 0.4997 0.4997 0.4997 0.4997 0.4997 0.4997 0.4997 0.4997 0.4998
3.50 0.4998 0.4998 0.4998 0.4998 0.4998 0.4998 0.4998 0.4998 0.4998 0.4998
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Table Lookup of a
Standard Normal Probability
P(0 Z 1) 0. 3413
Z 0.00 0.01 0.02
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Example
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Example
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Solution
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Example
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Solution
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Example
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