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Prediction of Socioeconomic Risks in the Cryolithic Zone of the Russian Arctic in the Context of Upcoming Climate Changes

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Abstract—

The article assesses the internal differentiation of municipalities in the regions of the Russian Arctic by the scale of potential socioeconomic damage from dangerous geocryological processes. Based on a specially developed technique, the areas where the population and its economic activity are most spatially vulnerable to natural hazards, including those due to climate-related process, are identified.

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Notes

  1. It is not used in this study, since in the regions of the Russian Arctic, there are large areas of reindeer pastures dominating in the structure of agricultural lands, where geocryological hazards are minimal (except, for example, the formation of funnels of gas emissions (methane) [17]).

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Funding

This work was supported by the Russian Foundation for Basic Research, project no. 20-55-71003 “Rapid Arctic environmental changes: implications for well-being, resilience and evolution of Arctic communities (RACE).”

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Authors and Affiliations

  1. Institute of Economic Forecasting, Russian Academy of Sciences, Moscow, Russia

    S. V. Badina

  2. Peoples’ Friendship University of Russia, Moscow, Russia

    S. V. Badina

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  1. S. V. Badina
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Correspondence to S. V. Badina.

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Translated by I. Pertsovskaya

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Badina, S.V. Prediction of Socioeconomic Risks in the Cryolithic Zone of the Russian Arctic in the Context of Upcoming Climate Changes. Stud. Russ. Econ. Dev. 31, 396–403 (2020). https://doi.org/10.1134/S1075700720040036

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  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1134/S1075700720040036

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